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Economics

BIS Oxford Economics compiles detailed research and forecasts for the Australian economy. Over the last 50+ years BIS Oxford Economics has earned an outstanding reputation for picking the major shifts and turning points in the economy.

Economic Outlook

Report Published: September 2017

Price:

Contact: Joy Xenita

+61 2 8458 4220

BIS Oxford Economics' Economic Outlook service monitors developments in the Australian economy and prospects for businesses. The service has been running for over 40 years and is Australia's premium source of independent analysis and commentary. Focusing on the short term outlook, the monthly report, articles and forecast data provide clients with detailed analysis of the key trends in the global and domestic economy, including an assessment of fiscal and monetary policy, and how they will impact economic activity.

Research Articles published since August Bulletin:

  • Services revive Australian employment (24/08/17)
  • Deconstructing Inflation: Tradeables Vs non-tradeables (31/08/17)
  • Offsetting investment cycles to constrain growth (08/09/17)
  • The economic impact of global political uncertainty (14/09/17)

Forthcoming Articles:

  • Outlook for the AUD
  • Impact of reduced migration
  • Manufacturing rebound?
  • Space for fiscal expansion

The Economic Outlook subscription service includes:

  • Monthly Bulletin and Articles
    Discusses the impact of major developments in the Australian economy on prospects for business sectors. We provide regular data, forecasts and discussion of:
    • growth in major sectors 
    • production and investment 
    • consumer demand 
    • price and wage inflation 
    • interest rates and exchange rates 
    • margins and profits by sector
  • Economic Briefing Conferences 
    Two complimentary admissions to BIS Oxford Economics' half-day conferences, held twice a year, in March and September. These detailed briefings, held in major capital cities, cover Australia's economic prospects providing a comprehensive outlook for the next 18 to 24 months. 
  • Subscriber Enquiry Service 
    Subscribers to Economic Outlook can also speak directly to our team of economists about specific forecasting issues affecting their business. 
  • Online Service 
    The service provides subscribers with instant access to bulletins, conference slides, latest statistics, financial data, forecasts and charts in a convenient electronic format (PDF, MS Excel and MS PowerPoint) via our website www.bisoxfordeconomics.com.au.  Online access may be shared with up to four other staff members for greater utilisation of the service.

 

MONTHLY BULLETINS

Adobe PDF document files for download by subscribers.

EO BULLETIN SEPT 2017 (pdf, 411 KB)

EO CHARTBOOK SEPT 2017 (pdf, 533 KB)

EO BULLETIN AUGUST 2017 (pdf, 329 KB)

EO BULLETIN JUNE/JULY 2017 (pdf, 723 KB)

EO BULLETIN MAY 2017 (pdf, 786 KB)

EO BULLETIN APRIL 2017 (pdf, 876 KB)

EO BULLETIN MARCH 2017 (pdf, 965 KB)

EO CHARTBOOK MARCH 2017 (pdf, 1.57 MB)

EO BULLETIN FEBRUARY 2017 (pdf, 1.35 MB)

EO BULLETIN DECEMBER 2016/JANUARY 2017 (pdf, 1.16 MB)

EO BULLETIN NOVEMBER 2016 (pdf, 663 KB)

EO BULLETIN OCTOBER 2016 (pdf, 684 KB)

WEEKLY DATA

Microsoft Excel spreadsheets and PDF files for download by online subscribers.

EXCHANGE RATES – WEEKLY (xls, 2.40 MB)

INTEREST RATES – WEEKLY (xls, 2.18 MB)

STOCK PRICES – WEEKLY (xls, 5.80 MB)

COMMODITY PRICES – WEEKLY (xls, 1.95 MB)

CALENDAR OF RELEASES AND EVENTS (pdf, 19 KB)

LATEST DATA AND FORECASTS

Microsoft Excel spreadsheets and PDF documents for download by online subscribers.

STATE INDICATORS UPDATED 19.09.2017 (xls, 1016 KB)

COSTS & PRICES UPDATED 19.09.2017 (xls, 540 KB)

EXTERNAL SECTOR UPDATED 19.09.2017 (xls, 1.09 MB)

FINANCIAL INDICATORS UPDATED 19.09.2017 (xls, 1.78 MB)

BUSINESS INDICATORS UPDATED 19.09.2017 (xls, 812 KB)

ECONOMIC INDICATORS UPDATED 19.09.2017 (xls, 1.61 MB)

RECENT ARTICLES

PDF document files for download by online subscribers.

OCTOBER 2017 – THE (NOT-SO) GREAT MIGRATION (pdf, 155 KB)

OCTOBER 2017 – WEAKER LONG RUN OUTLOOK DEPRESSES NEUTRAL CASH RATE (pdf, 298 KB)

OCTOBER 2017 – INDUSTRY ANALYSIS AND OUTLOOK (pdf, 405 KB)

OCTOBER 2017 – OUTLOOK FOR THE AUSTRALIAN EXCHANGE RATE (pdf, 314 KB)

SEPTEMBER 2017 – THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF GLOBAL POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY (pdf, 153 KB)

SEPTEMBER 2017 – OFFSETTING INVESTMENT CYCLES TO CONSTRAIN GROWTH (pdf, 418 KB)

AUGUST 2017 – DECONSTRUCTING INFLATION: TRADABLES VS NON-TRADABLES (pdf, 180 KB)

AUGUST 2017_SERVICES REVIVE AUSTRALIAN EMPLOYMENT (pdf, 558 KB)

AUGUST 2017 – OXFORD ECONOMICS GLOBAL RISK SURVEY: Q3 2017 (pdf, 309 KB)

AUGUST 2017 – CONSUMERS WEIGHED DOWN BY WEAK WAGE GROWTH (pdf, 143 KB)

AUGUST 2017 – RBA TO BE CAUTIOUS AMID SUBDUED DOMESTIC DEMAND (pdf, 370 KB)

JULY 2017 – SERVICE EXPORTS TAKE OFF (pdf, 142 KB)

JUNE/JULY 2017 – ECONOMIC OVERVIEW INCLUDING UPDATED FORECASTS (pdf, 129 KB)

JUNE/JULY 2017 – DETAILED CONSTRUCTION AND INVESTMENT OUTLOOK (pdf, 80 KB)

JUNE/JULY 2017 – INDUSTRY PROFIT DISCUSSION AND TABLES (pdf, 48 KB)

JUNE/JULY 2017 – ANALYSIS OF SERVICES EXPORTS (pdf, 51 KB)

JUNE/JULY 2017 – STATE OF PLAY (pdf, 37 KB)

MAY 2017 – STATE OF PLAY (pdf, 50 KB)

MAY 2017 – EXCHANGE RATE OUTLOOK (pdf, 55 KB)

MAY 2017 – CPI FORECASTS (pdf, 54 KB)

MAY 2017 – MOTOR VEHICLE AND FUEL IMPORTS (pdf, 34 KB)

MAY 2017 – BUDGET DEFICITS (pdf, 244 KB)

MAY 2017 – INFLATION OUTLOOK (pdf, 155 KB)

MAY 2017 – GOVERNMENT SET TO MISS SURPLUS TARGET AGAIN (pdf, 243 KB)

APRIL 2017 – STATE OF PLAY (pdf, 111 KB)

APRIL 2017 – HIGH ENERGY PRICES WILL DECIMATE MANUFACTURING (pdf, 197 KB)

APRIL 2017 – OUTLOOK FOR STATES (pdf, 225 KB)

MARCH 2017 – GROWTH WILL STAY SOFT FOR SOME YEARS YET (pdf, 213 KB)

MARCH 2017 – TRUMPONOMICS. A 'TRIAL AND ERROR' PRESIDENCY IMPOSING GLOBAL RISK (pdf, 156 KB)

MARCH 2017 – INVESTMENT AND CONSTRUCTION OUTLOOK.PDF (pdf, 136 KB)

MARCH 2017 – PROFITS REBOUND IN DECEMBER QUARTER, BUT STRENGTH IS UNSUSTAINABLE (pdf, 251 KB)

FEB 2017 – LATEST DATA CONFIRMING DECEMBER QUARTER REBOUND IN ECONOMIC GROWTH (pdf, 575 KB)

FEB 2017 – UNDERLYING INFLATION NEAR ITS LOW POINT, BUT EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RISE OVER NEXT 2 YEARS (pdf, 69 KB)

FEB 2017 – SEA CHANGE IN DRIVERS OF INVESTMENT RETURNS (pdf, 134 KB)

FEB 2017 – NET EXPORTS BOOSTING GDP, WHILE DRAMATICALLY REDUCING THE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT (pdf, 319 KB)

DEC 2016/ JAN 2017 – ECONOMY SLIPS IN THE DECEMBER QUARTER BUT NO CHANCE OF RECESSION (pdf, 99 KB)

DEC 2016/JAN 2017 – RISING US INTEREST RATES TO IMPROVE AUSTRALIAN COMPETITIVENESS (pdf, 45 KB)

DEC 2016/JAN 2017 – STATE OF PLAY - JOBS AND RETAIL SPENDING IMPROVE, MOTOR VEHICLE SALES WEAKENING (pdf, 36 KB)

DEC 2016/JAN 2017 – INVESTMENT AND CONSTRUCTION TO DECLINE NEXT 2 YEARS, BUT DIFFERENCES BETWEEN SECTORS (pdf, 129 KB)

DEC 2016/JAN 2017 – PROFITS ANALYSIS AND INDUSTRY OUTLOOK TO 2017/18 (pdf, 88 KB)

NOV 2016 – TRUMP PRESIDENCY AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA (pdf, 53 KB)

NOV 2016 – RETAIL TRADE ANALYSIS (pdf, 78 KB)

NOV 2016 – EDUCATION SERVICES EXPORTS (pdf, 40 KB)

NOV 2016 – OUTLOOK FOR EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY SECTOR (pdf, 172 KB)

OCT 2016 – STATE OF PLAY (pdf, 52 KB)

OCT 2016 – INFLATION RISES BUT REMAINS LOW. IS DEFLATION A RISK? (pdf, 33 KB)

OCT 2016 – COMMODITY PRICES ARE RECOVERING – SUSTAINABLE RALLY OR A FALSE DAWN? (pdf, 71 KB)

OCT 2016 – OUTLOOK FOR STATES (pdf, 201 KB)

SEPT 2016 – ECONOMIC OVERVIEW – PRIVATE DEMAND IS STILL SUFFERING FROM POST GFC WEAKNESS. (pdf, 124 KB)

SEPT 2016 – DETAILED GDP, INCOME, EXPENDITURE AND INVESTMENT FORECASTS (pdf, 118 KB)

SEPT 2016 – PROFITS AND INDUSTRY ANALYSIS; CONSTRUCTION AND INVESTMENT OUTLOOK (pdf, 272 KB)

SEPT 2016 – STATE OF PLAY (pdf, 131 KB)

SEPT 2016 – GROWING PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT MEANS CHANGES TO PRODUCTIVITY MEASURE.PDF (pdf, 190 KB)

AUG 2016 – STATE OF PLAY (pdf, 450 KB)

AUG 2016 – WITH PRICE AND WAGE INFLATION LOW, WILL THE RBA CUT RATES AGAIN? (pdf, 436 KB)

AUG 2016 – AN UPDATE ON THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY (pdf, 813 KB)

AUG 2016 – IMPACTS OF THE CAR MANUFACTURING SHUTDOWN (pdf, 572 KB)

CONFERENCE CENTRE

Microsoft Powerpoint, Excel and Adobe PDF document files for download by online subscribers.

EO BULLETIN SEPT 2017 (pdf, 411 KB)

EO CHARTBOOK SEPT 2017 (pdf, 533 KB)

EO CONFERENCE SLIDES SEPTEMBER 2017 – INTERNATIONAL OUTLOOK (ppt, 1.75 MB)

EO CONFERENCE SLIDES SEPTEMBER 2017 – AUSTRALIA ECONOMIC OUTLOOK (ppt, 1.12 MB)

EO CONFERENCE SLIDES SEPTEMBER 2017 – INVESTMENT OUTLOOK (NATIONAL AND STATE) (ppt, 1.03 MB)

EO CONFERENCE SLIDES SEPTEMBER 2017 – STATE FINAL DEMAND AND INDUSTRY OUTLOOK (ppt, 2.41 MB)